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Simulation Analysis on EURO Cup 2012

This model is suitable to whom that want to know how simulation analysis applied in EURO Cup 2012. The model allow to make 1,000 random scenario that had been constructed using statistical approach.

The input of the model is only 3 things:
- The 1 x 2 odds (using European odds in decimal) for each match in Euro 2012.
- The amount of bet for each match
- Confidence Interval to measure for the result, how much probability that could satisfy your expectation.

Then the model will do 1,000 random scenarios and from these 1,000 random scenarios you will know:
- Historical figure (friendly match from 2010 until 2011, plus some 2012 figures and world cup 2010 figures) of 16 countries participating in Euro 2012
- Every match and it's result for certain scenario
- How much the maximum loss and gain from that 1,000 scenarios
- How much average and standard deviation of gain/loss from that 1,000 scenarios
- x% probability that gain or loss will be fall within certain range
- downside risk measure to know x% probability that gain or loss may fall within certain value
- graph of frequency distribution for 1,000 scenarios
- graph of the most occurrence of country that becomes a winner of Euro 2012

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About the author

koei

2 models
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